Monday 05/11/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Monday 05/11/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Craig Trapp

Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks
Play Under: 210½

Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.

Under is 7-2 in DEN last 9 road games.

Great Trends back up the capping on this play. Denver does not score near as well on road and also Dallas will be balls to the wall on defense to try and fight off elimination. The only worry here would be OT but no way these two get over 210. Denver might even be a lock down defense tonight as they would love a rest before facing LAL!! SCORE DEN 99 - DAL 96


Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants

Was not going to release a Bonus Play winner but figured what the hell lets give out a premium play on Monday. Very light day in sports but Craig has very easy winner. Take a look at the records, trends, and winning breakdown here.

Records

Washington Nationals 10-19, 5-12 away (Cabrera 0-3, 4.85 ERA)

San Francisco 16-14, 10-4 home (Johnson 2-3, 5.68 ERA)

Betting Trends

Nationals are 0-6 in Cabreras last 6 starts.

Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.

Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.

Not sure how the lowly Nationals are not an even larger M/L underdog but we will take it and love every bit of it as SF wins easily. Also love that Washington is having to travel after losing in ARIZONA on Sunday. Washington is pitiful on the road with only 5 wins. The Giants go for their 14th win in 20 games and their eighth straight against the Nationals. The Giants hand the ball to Randy Johnson, who's three wins shy of 300, he is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA in his first three home starts for the Giants. Lucky for the Giants hitters they get to face Cabrera today who can't get a win (0-6). Not even close today SF WINS EASY. SF 7 - WASH 3

Big Al McMordie

Washington at San Francisco
Pick Selection: SF Giants

At 10:15pm our complimentary selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Washington Nationals. At first glance it would seem that Nats starter Daniel Cabrera and Giants starter Randy Johnson are having parallel seasons. But actually nothing could be further from the truth. While Johnson has been alternating great and poor outings, Cabrera has just been consistently bad. And while, surprisingly, Johnson's ERA is the higher of the two, there are at least two reasons for his team to be very optimistic about this evening. First, it's time for one of the Big Unit's strong starts, as he had almost identical seven-inning shutout performances two starts back and four starts back. Second, both of those starts (his two best starts of the year by far) were his only two at home, and tonight Johnson will be on the mound at AT&T Park for the third time. Don't try to find any pattern in Cabrera's performances to date. Just as was the case for most of the time with the Orioles, Cabrera has had trouble finding the plate and staying consistent. Even when he has several good innings in a row, it seems like a blow-up is right around the corner, as happened in his last start against the Dodgers when he was pretty effective through the first four innings, only to come apart in innings five and six. Cabrera has give up 10 total walks in his last two starts covering just 11 1/3 innings. It's uncertain how long the Nats will stick with him in their rotation, but it's unlikely they will be as patient as the Orioles were before finally giving up on him at the end of 2008 after five full seasons of frustration. Take the Giants.

Sports Gambling Hotline

Cleveland at ATLANTA

Tonight we play the Cavs-Hawks game UNDER the posted total.

Cleveland netted 97 points on Saturday, and the contest still stayed UNDER the total. We expect to see a similar type of game played out tonight at Philips Arena, and another UNDER the total to cash in.

Atlanta is on a 7-1 UNDER run when installed as the underdog, and 3 of the last 5 series meetings between the clubs have stayed LOW.

The Cavaliers are on a 5-1 playoff UNDER run, while the Hawks are on a 6-2 playoff UNDER run.

Just not enough offense here tonight to make us feel comfortable backing the OVER.

Play on the LOW in tonight's Cleveland-Atlanta contest.

1? UNDER

Karl Garrett

White Sox at CLEVELAND

Tonight on the diamond, look for the bats to get cranking in this Chicago-Cleveland game.

Both teams have been playing them LOW of late, as the Pale Hose have been UNDER the total in 4 straight, while the Tribe have been UNDER in their last 3.

That changes tonight with Gavin Floyd, and Carl Pavano serving them up.

Floyd sports a season ERA over 6, and 5 of his 6 starts this season have landed OVER the posted total.

Pavano's season ERA is also over 6, and 4 of his 6 season starts have landed OVER the total.

In last year's season series, 10 of the 18 games played between the teams did land HIGH, and the G-Man likes this one to also land OVER the total.

2? OVER

Bobby Maxwell

Cleveland -10 at ATLANTA

It looks like Cleveland is on a mission, so tonigh LeBron and his gang will finish off the Hawks and move on to the Eastern Conference finals. They haven't been challenged in a playoff game yet, winning and covering in all seven and we don't expect tonight to be the first time they fail. Play the Cavs as they wrap this series up with a 15-20 point win.

Saturday was their first semi-challenge as the Hawks were in the game until midway through the third quarter but watching it you just had that feeling the Cavs were just toying with the Hawks and had the ability to turn it on when they wanted. Tonight you'll see the Cavaliers play an inspired first half and get up big by halftime and then the Hawks will throw in the towel in the second half and it'll be an ugly final 20 minutes or so with backups in the game.

Cleveland has won every playoff game by double digits and their defense is giving up less than 80 points a game in the postseason. They seem to understand that they let LeBron draw the attention and the guards hit the open shots and the big guys rebound and make their putbacks and free throws.

Then there's LeBron who decided he do it from the outside on Saturday and was knocking down 3-pointers from everywhere. Tonight he might decide to show off his driving skill and have a few early dunks to demoralize the Hawks.

Atlanta can't seem to do anything right and they just can't score enough points to prove a threat to the Cavs. We'll lay the big chalk and play Cleveland tonight.

3? CLEVELAND

Jimmy The Moose

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

Both teams come into this game having won 3 of their last 4. On the road the Nationals are 5-12 and will be facing a good home team in the Giants who are 10-4 at home. The Nationals send Cabrera to the mound and he takes his 0-3 record with him. The Nationals have lost all 6 of his starts this season. Randy Johnson's on the mound for the Giants and San Francisco has won 3 of his last 4 starts. Take the home team tonight. Play on the San Francisco Giants -.

Red Dog Sports

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Play Over 10.5

Cleveland has gone over in 8 of their last 11 and the White Sox have played 8 overs and 2 unders in their last 10 as an underdog. Floyd has an ERA of 6.29 and Pavano has an ERA of 6.61. These two have combined for 9 overs and 3 unders. Look for the over to cash on Monday!

Cajun Sports

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants

AT&T Park will be the site of a three-game series set to begin on Monday night at 10:15PM EST between the host San Francisco Giants and the visiting Washington Nationals. The Nationals are 28-65 W/L (-28.0) when playing against a team with a winning record the last 2 seasons and 7-27 W/L (-17.6) in road games versus a National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse the last 2 seasons. Washington will send right-hander Daniel Cabrera to the bump with his 0-3 W/L record on the highway this season and his ERA of 6.59 including a WHIP of 2.196. Cabrera has averaged allowing 16.69 men on base this season and has a Power Efficiency Rating of -4.65 not good numbers for a Nationals team that needs solid performances out of their starters. The Nationals bullpen has an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.651 on the road this season. Cabrera is 0-6 W/L his last six starts as an underdog and Washington is 13-32 W/L (-15.3) when Cabrera takes the bump as an underdog of +100 or more. The Nationals are 15-46 W/L their last sixty-one installed as a road underdog and 13-39 W/L their last fifty-two road games versus a team with a winning record. San Francisco is 10-4 W/L (+6.2) when playing at home this season and 10-10 W/L (+1.6) when facing a right-handed starter. The Giants will send left-hander Randy Johnson to the hill with his 2-1 W/L record at home with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 0.632. Johnson’s numbers are better than Cabrera’s in that he only allows 12.51 men on base and has a Power Efficiency Rating of +5.02; he also gets solid support from the bullpen as they have an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.525 at home the season. San Francisco is 5-1 W/L their last six as a favorite, 7-2 W/L their last nine at home, 6-2 W/L their last eight as a home favorite and 14-6 W/L their last twenty facing a team with a win percentage of less than .400 on the year. Key Angle: Washington is 4-14 W/L (-12.0) when Cabrera takes the bump versus teams averaging 0.9 or less homeruns per game the last 2 seasons. Key System: Play On MLB home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.000 or more over his last 3 starts, 117-42 W/L (+53.2) the last five seasons. With solid fundamental and technical support for the host we will back the Giants here as they get the win over the Nationals in the Golden Gate City on Monday night.

Graded Selection: 2* San Francisco Giants 4 Washington Nationals 2

Alex Smart

Dallas Mavericks -1.5

A lot of controversy swirled around some questionable non calls by the referees in game 3 of this Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks western conference series , that allowed Carmelo Anthony to eventually hit a late 3 pointer , for a 106-105 win by the Nuggets. Antoine Wright deliberately bumped Anthony twice, but no call. That seemed odd considering how easily the officials had blown the whistle the whole game, only to turn their heads in this spot. That did not set well with the Mavericks, and I'm sure the league was not happy either , especially after the scandals that rocked the NBA over the last few years. NBA spokesman Tim Frank said Sunday that the league was still reviewing the post-game scene on the court, when Mavericks' Josh Howard and team owner Mark Cuban were among those that were shown to be extremely upset. Now with desperation on their plates, and the motivation of feeling like they were ripped off I expect the Mavs to come out here and play one of their best games of the playoffs, behind what will be a pumped up crowd. Here is a quote from Denvers Chauncey Billups that sums up tonights situation: "They're facing elimination. That's always the toughest game to win, especially in a sweep situation. They're going to fight really hard and do everything they can possibly do to keep their season alive." It must be noted that the Dallas Mavericks have never been swept in a 4 game series, and I am betting nothing changes tonight. .....Projected score: Dallas 107 Denver 103- Play on Mavs to cover

Frank Jordan

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Play: New York Mets

Atlanta and the NY Mets are each sending a 4-1 pitcher to the mound as the Braves send Derek Lowe up against the Mets Johan Santana. Lowe has an era of just under 4 so he is getting run support to be at 4-1 while Santana struggles to win games with an era of under 1. In this one look for a pitchers duel at Citi Field with the Mets and Santana coming out on top 2-1. Play NY Mets

Cappers Access

Mavericks
W. Sox


Joe Wiz

Chisox Cleve Under
Mets/ Braves Under
Giants
 

FIGHT ON!!
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paid , confirmed and losed.............10-3 last 13, 7 -1 last 8, 69 % winning record las 3 mlb seasons, lies and more lies............r u stupids or what, u cant pick a winner alone.............any way, the cappers r the most big loosers of all............lolllll


Why are you still here
 

FIGHT ON!!
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to show the new guys that do not lose their money whit cheats .........the cappers stole ur money.........wake up....................

betos0808<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_6678118", true); </SCRIPT>
RX Junior

Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: mexico
Posts: 15

**you are the new guy...please learn to speak clearly**

Why dont you start posting your plays and lets put you up against the paid cappers and see who does better
 

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i am not a capper, i like to bet but my own selections.............i dont like to pay to loose my money at all................but now the new guys lnow the true about the "cappers"...........cya
 

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i am not a capper, i like to bet but my own selections.............i dont like to pay to loose my money at all................but now the new guys lnow the true about the "cappers"...........cya
are you drunk paco?
 

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Lee bien las condiciones!!!

Para BETO0808, amigo: en esta pàgina solo puedes consultarla o poner picks que hayas comprado. Existen forums para que convenzas a los demàs de no comprar. Pienso que eres muy ignorate de como funciona esto.
 

FIGHT ON!!
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Para BETO0808, amigo: en esta pàgina solo puedes consultarla o poner picks que hayas comprado. Existen forums para que convenzas a los demàs de no comprar. Pienso que eres muy ignorate de como funciona esto.

I agree my friend
 

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Nobody here really needs these touts for the mavs/nuggs game. After the NBA clearly saying that the refs screwed up the call last game which caused dallas to lose the game, EXPECT dallas to get the benefit of the doubt on most calls tonight. The NBA is rigged and thats how it works. Dallas covers easy tonight guys.
 

sdf

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Para BETO0808, amigo: en esta pàgina solo puedes consultarla o poner picks que hayas comprado. Existen forums para que convenzas a los demàs de no comprar. Pienso que eres muy ignorate de como funciona esto.


For BET)0808, Friend: in this pàgina alone you can consult it or to put picks that have bought. They exist forums so that convince to the demàs of buy not. I think that you are very ignore you of as this functions.
 

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The first picks posted look to be Jeff Bentons? Just want to clarify

Monday's winners ...
20 Dime: NUGGETS (plus the points vs. Mavericks)



5 Dime: Braves-Mets UNDER the total ... NOTE: List both Johan Santana and Derek Lowe as starting pitchers. If either does NOT start, this play is VOID!





I will return with in-depth analysis on the Braves-Mets UNDER by 3 p.m. Eastern time.





Nuggets



Any chance Dallas had of making this a competitive series against the Nuggets went out the window when it got hosed by the officials at the end of Game 3. And when Carmelo Anthony nailed that three-point dagger to pull out an improbable 106-105 win for Denver – and causing the Mavericks’ players and whack-job owner to go berserk on the court at the end of the game – this series was for all intents and purposes over.



As I’m sure you – and the Mavericks– know, no team in NBA playoff history has ever rallied from an 0-3 series hole. And few teams rally to even force a Game 5, especially when they blow a four-point lead with 31 seconds left on their home court in Game 3, as Dallas did. Yeah, I know they got jobbed by the refs on that non-call on ‘Melo before he got off the game-winning shot, but if the Mavs had just played defense and hit their free throws, it wouldn’t have been an issue.



Fact is, Denver is now 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in the playoffs – the only blemish was a last-second one-point loss at New Orleans in Game 3. The Nuggets have scored at least 106 points in all seven of their playoff victories, and their 109.3 ppg average is the best in the postseason (even better than Chicago and Boston, who played three overtime games in the first round to pad their offensive numbers).



Denver also leads all playoff teams in field-goal offensive (49.4 ppg), and is second to the Cavaliers in field-goal defense (42 percent). And even though they’ve given up 105 points to the Mavs in each of the last two games, they’re still surrendering just 90.8 ppg in the postseason, the third-best mark in the league behind Cleveland and Miami. In fact, the Nuggets’ 18.5-point per-game scoring differential is the best in the league!



More numbers to chew on: In addition to covering all seven playoff games to this point, the Nuggets have cashed in 16 of their last 21 overall; they’re 7-2 ATS both in their last nine road games and their last nine as an underdog; they’re 20-7 ATS in their last 27 against Western Conference opponents and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 against teams from the competitive Southwest Division (think Dallas, Houston, San Antonio and New Orleans); and they’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight when playing on one day of rest.



Finally, there’s the little matter that Denver owns the Mavericks – and I mean owns. The Nuggets are 10-1 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings overall; 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the seven clashes this season; and they’ve covered in five straight games in Dallas, winning four of those outright.



Throw in the fact that Denver is the much healthier, much younger and, quite frankly, much hungrier team, and this one’s a no-brainer. Take the Nuggets to finish off this series in four.

Trace Adams

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - Cleveland Cavaliers
OK, I give up!



On Saturday I gave out a 500♦ Pay-After play on the Hawks in Game 3, and we all know how that turned out. I honestly thought Atlanta would at least keep it close on their home floor.



The Hawks did keep it close for a while, then Cleveland's superiority took over, and the Cavs won it by 15, making that 7 straight playoff wins, 7 straight playoff covers, 7 straight double-digit wins!



Hard to argue with those kinds of numbers, and while the spread on this one has gone up a basket, I expect the Cavaliers to handle the number once again, as I have a feeling the Hawks are now demoralized, and will cash it in early tonight.



Cleveland knows the Boston-Orlando series is now tied at 2, so they can get some nice rest once again if they put the Hawks away tonight.



With a chance to make history looming for the Cavs, expect Cleveland to make it their mission to crush the Hawks tonight.



Lay it!



PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN

500♦ - Cleveland Cavaliers




IMPORTANT NOTES
just wanted to pitch in some good peoples opinions today, and all I need to say is thats to big baby for coming thru at the buzzer. Lost a shit load on the Lakers and played the moneyline with Boston and it came thru. I just hope dallas dosent come out thinking that their time is now. I just want them to concead and let me make some more money.
 
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i am not a capper, i like to bet but my own selections.............i dont like to pay to loose my money at all................but now the new guys lnow the true about the "cappers"...........cya

OK dipshit I wasnt going to say anything but shut the fuck up and leave this thread....you do not even make sense when you post and you are just trying to be a dipshit

Who cares!!!! you do not follow cappers fine....if you do not follow cappers why the fuck are you still in this thread!!!!:think2:
 

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who is this pick from???

thanks


Monday's winners ...
20 Dime: NUGGETS (plus the points vs. Mavericks)



5 Dime: Braves-Mets UNDER the total ... NOTE: List both Johan Santana and Derek Lowe as starting pitchers. If either does NOT start, this play is VOID!





I will return with in-depth analysis on the Braves-Mets UNDER by 3 p.m. Eastern time.





Nuggets



Any chance Dallas had of making this a competitive series against the Nuggets went out the window when it got hosed by the officials at the end of Game 3. And when Carmelo Anthony nailed that three-point dagger to pull out an improbable 106-105 win for Denver – and causing the Mavericks’ players and whack-job owner to go berserk on the court at the end of the game – this series was for all intents and purposes over.



As I’m sure you – and the Mavericks– know, no team in NBA playoff history has ever rallied from an 0-3 series hole. And few teams rally to even force a Game 5, especially when they blow a four-point lead with 31 seconds left on their home court in Game 3, as Dallas did. Yeah, I know they got jobbed by the refs on that non-call on ‘Melo before he got off the game-winning shot, but if the Mavs had just played defense and hit their free throws, it wouldn’t have been an issue.



Fact is, Denver is now 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in the playoffs – the only blemish was a last-second one-point loss at New Orleans in Game 3. The Nuggets have scored at least 106 points in all seven of their playoff victories, and their 109.3 ppg average is the best in the postseason (even better than Chicago and Boston, who played three overtime games in the first round to pad their offensive numbers).



Denver also leads all playoff teams in field-goal offensive (49.4 ppg), and is second to the Cavaliers in field-goal defense (42 percent). And even though they’ve given up 105 points to the Mavs in each of the last two games, they’re still surrendering just 90.8 ppg in the postseason, the third-best mark in the league behind Cleveland and Miami. In fact, the Nuggets’ 18.5-point per-game scoring differential is the best in the league!



More numbers to chew on: In addition to covering all seven playoff games to this point, the Nuggets have cashed in 16 of their last 21 overall; they’re 7-2 ATS both in their last nine road games and their last nine as an underdog; they’re 20-7 ATS in their last 27 against Western Conference opponents and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 against teams from the competitive Southwest Division (think Dallas, Houston, San Antonio and New Orleans); and they’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight when playing on one day of rest.



Finally, there’s the little matter that Denver owns the Mavericks – and I mean owns. The Nuggets are 10-1 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings overall; 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the seven clashes this season; and they’ve covered in five straight games in Dallas, winning four of those outright.



Throw in the fact that Denver is the much healthier, much younger and, quite frankly, much hungrier team, and this one’s a no-brainer. Take the Nuggets to finish off this series in four.

Trace Adams

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - Cleveland Cavaliers
OK, I give up!



On Saturday I gave out a 500♦ Pay-After play on the Hawks in Game 3, and we all know how that turned out. I honestly thought Atlanta would at least keep it close on their home floor.



The Hawks did keep it close for a while, then Cleveland's superiority took over, and the Cavs won it by 15, making that 7 straight playoff wins, 7 straight playoff covers, 7 straight double-digit wins!



Hard to argue with those kinds of numbers, and while the spread on this one has gone up a basket, I expect the Cavaliers to handle the number once again, as I have a feeling the Hawks are now demoralized, and will cash it in early tonight.



Cleveland knows the Boston-Orlando series is now tied at 2, so they can get some nice rest once again if they put the Hawks away tonight.



With a chance to make history looming for the Cavs, expect Cleveland to make it their mission to crush the Hawks tonight.



Lay it!



PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN

500♦ - Cleveland Cavaliers




IMPORTANT NOTES
just wanted to pitch in some good peoples opinions today, and all I need to say is thats to big baby for coming thru at the buzzer. Lost a shit load on the Lakers and played the moneyline with Boston and it came thru. I just hope dallas dosent come out thinking that their time is now. I just want them to concead and let me make some more money.
 

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime: NUGGETS (plus the points vs. Mavericks)



5 Dime: Braves-Mets UNDER the total ... NOTE: List both Johan Santana and Derek Lowe as starting pitchers

I believe this is Jeff Benton
 

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new week , I need some advice been getting killed who's hot need a comeback week
 

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